Species' traits predict phenological responses to climate change in butterflies

Author
Diamond Sarah E.
Frame Alicia M.
Martin Ryan A.
Buckley Lauren B.
Keywords
Abstract

How do species' traits help identify which species will respond most strongly to future climate change? We examine the relationship between species' traits and phenology in a well-established model system for climate change, the U.K. Butterfly Monitoring Scheme (UKBMS). Most resident U.K. butterfly species have significantly advanced their dates of first appearance during the past 30 years. We show that species with narrower larval diet breadth and more advanced overwintering stages have experienced relatively greater advances in their date of first appearance. In addition, species with smaller range sizes have experienced greater phenological advancement. Our results demonstrate that species' traits can be important predictors of responses to climate change, and they suggest that further investigation of the mechanisms by which these traits influence phenology may aid in understanding species' responses to current and future climate change.

Year of Publication
2011
Journal
Ecology
Volume
92
Issue
5
Number of Pages
1005-1012
Date Published
May 1, 2011
ISBN Number
0012-9658
URL
Short Title
Ecology