Research and Publications
The Millennium Atlas Of Butterflies In Britain And Ireland. Oxford University Press, Oxford.
(2001) The State Of Butterflies In Britain And Ireland. Pisces, Newbury.
(2006) Assessing species' habitat associations from occurrence records, standardised monitoring data and expert opinion: A test with British butterflies. Ecological Indicators, 62, 271-278.
(2016) Assisted colonization in a changing climate: a test-study using two U.K. butterflies. Conservation Letters, 2, 46-52.
(2009) Citizen science and invasive alien species: Predicting the detection of the oak processionary moth Thaumetopoea processionea by moth recorders. Biological Conservation, 208, 146-154.
(2017) Climate change, climatic variation and extreme biological responses. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B, 372, 20160144.
(2017) (Submitted)
The dark side of street lighting: impacts on moths and evidence for the disruption of nocturnal pollen transport. Global Change Biology, 23, 697-707.
(2017) Developing a biodiversity-based indicator for large-scale environmental assessment: a case study of proposed shale gas extraction sites in Britain. Journal of Applied Ecology, 54, 872-882.
(2017) (2016)
Direct and indirect effects of climate and habitat factors on butterfly diversity. Ecology, 88, 605-611.
(2007) The distributions of a wide range of taxonomic groups are expanding polewards. Global Change Biology, 12, 450-455.
(2006) The effects of visual apparency on bias in butterfly recording and monitoring. Biological Conservation, 128, 486-492.
(2006) (2017)
Extinction risk from climate change is reduced by microclimatic buffering. Nature Climate Change, 8, 713-717.
(2018) Government targets for protected area management: will threatened butterflies benefit?. Biodiversity and Conservation, 16, 3719-3736.
(2007) Impacts of climate warming and habitat loss on extinctions at species' low-latitude range boundaries. Global Change Biology, 12, 15451553.
(2006) Long-term changes in the distribution of British moths consistent with opposing and synergistic effects of climate and land use change. Journal of Applied Ecology, 51, 949-957.
(2014) A national-scale assessment of climate change impacts on species: Assessing the balance of risks and opportunities for multiple taxa. Biological Conservation, 213, 124 - 134.
(2017) 
(2010)
(2011)
Population variability in species can be deduced from opportunistic citizen science records: a case study using British butterflies. Insect Conservation and Diversity, 11, 131-142.
(2018) Species richness changes lag behind climate change. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 273, 1465-1470.
(2006) Surrogacy and persistence in reserve selection: landscape prioritization for multiple taxa in Britain. Journal of Applied Ecology, 46, 82-91.
(2009)