Research and Publications
Using citizen science butterfly counts to predict species population trends. Conservation Biology, 31, 1350-1361.
(2017) Uncovering hidden spatial structure in species communities with spatially explicit joint species distribution models. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 7, 428-436.
(2016) Surrogacy and persistence in reserve selection: landscape prioritization for multiple taxa in Britain. Journal of Applied Ecology, 46, 82-91.
(2009) The State Of The Uk’s Butterflies 2015. Butterfly Conservation and the Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wareham, Dorset.
(2015) The State Of Butterflies In Britain And Ireland. Pisces, Newbury.
(2006) Species richness changes lag behind climate change. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 273, 1465-1470.
(2006) Population variability in species can be deduced from opportunistic citizen science records: a case study using British butterflies. Insect Conservation and Diversity, 11, 131-142.
(2018) (2011)
(2010)
A national-scale assessment of climate change impacts on species: Assessing the balance of risks and opportunities for multiple taxa. Biological Conservation, 213, 124 - 134.
(2017) 
The Millennium Atlas Of Butterflies In Britain And Ireland. Oxford University Press, Oxford.
(2001) Long-term changes in the distribution of British moths consistent with opposing and synergistic effects of climate and land use change. Journal of Applied Ecology, 51, 949-957.
(2014) Impacts of climate warming and habitat loss on extinctions at species' low-latitude range boundaries. Global Change Biology, 12, 15451553.
(2006) Government targets for protected area management: will threatened butterflies benefit?. Biodiversity and Conservation, 16, 3719-3736.
(2007) Extinction risk from climate change is reduced by microclimatic buffering. Nature Climate Change, 8, 713-717.
(2018) (2017)
The effects of visual apparency on bias in butterfly recording and monitoring. Biological Conservation, 128, 486-492.
(2006) The distributions of a wide range of taxonomic groups are expanding polewards. Global Change Biology, 12, 450-455.
(2006) Direct and indirect effects of climate and habitat factors on butterfly diversity. Ecology, 88, 605-611.
(2007) (2016)
Developing a biodiversity-based indicator for large-scale environmental assessment: a case study of proposed shale gas extraction sites in Britain. Journal of Applied Ecology, 54, 872-882.
(2017) The dark side of street lighting: impacts on moths and evidence for the disruption of nocturnal pollen transport. Global Change Biology, 23, 697-707.
(2017) (Submitted)
Climate change, climatic variation and extreme biological responses. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B, 372, 20160144.
(2017)